Metacoin

Covering Bitcoin, the Blockchain, Altcoins, and Fintech

Ethereum

50 Weeks Later: The Jaw-Dropping Returns of the BRED Portfolio

We run the risk of saying “I’ll just leave this here” and, well, just leaving this here. But it deserves some context, so we won’t do that.

The Metacoin “BRED Portfolio” is on Fire

Our original post on BRED was a couple months into the year, but we decided to back-test and figure out what would have happened under the following scenario:

  1. Someone has an extra $10,000 sitting around;
  2. They divide that equally between four of the big coins: Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum, and Dash;
  3. They leave it alone.

The result is something like this:

Can Anyone Explain?

We’ll hazard a couple guesses as to what is really going on here:

  1. FOMO – “Fear of Missing Out” – is bringing new money off of the sidelines and into Bitcoin, especially; with a huge chunk of the Bitcoin growth during the past three months. (Bitcoin’s price was at 3400 three months ago.)
  2. Coinbase – which has more users than Charles Schwab. (Yes, that’s a REFERRAL LINK over there, and we’ll both get an extra $10 in BTC with a qualifying purchase if you use it.)
  3. Tulip Mania – since everyone’s comparing this Bitcoin and crypto bull market to the Dutch Tulip Bubble, people are acting as rationally now as they did back then.

So Then…What’s Next?

We’ll of course do a year-end wrap-up on the BRED Portfolio, and will run the numbers throughout 2018 on the original BRED, a re-calibrated BRED, and probably a couple other portfolios, too.

In the meantime, if you were wise enough to invest in these back at the beginning of the year AND hold them to now, congratulations to you.

And if not, well, you’re in the vast majority of investors.

 

My Morning Bitcoin Ritual

There’s a certain power to morning rituals, to routines, and to doing the same thing every day – you find yourself ready for a variety of challenges, and, if you’re a morning person like me, you can hit the ground running by 8:30, with your priority list or to do list on the road to being conquered.

Crypto The UnicornIf you’ve followed any of the self-help gurus on the internet over the past ten years or so, you know there is almost a cottage industry built around productivity. So take these with a grain of salt…what works for me may not work for you.

In any event, here’s the ritual I follow, with the specific crypto mantra that has helped me in the past eight months.

Before you ask “who are you and why should we listen to you?” – let’s just say that I’m pretty happy with the little crypto empire I’m starting to build. But I have a lot to learn…which is why you’ll see a good chunk of this devoted to research.

Step One: Fire Up a Specific Set of Sites

I have the following sites set to open up on Chrome:

  • Gmail
  • Google Finance
  • Metacoin – yes, this site is one of the first things I check, to get statistics, read any comments, etc.
  • Twitter – where, in addition to the Team Metacoin account, I spend most of my time tweeting under my Area 224 account, where I have tweeted for close to ten years.
  • Poloniex (more on that in a moment)
  • CoinMarketCap (which gets ripped on by quite a few people, I know…as it appears they really don’t vet their ads very well)
  • LinkedIn (checking in on professional network stuff there)
  • ESPN (well, duh), and
  • POW Token – as I’m semi-obsessed with this one getting off the ground. That’s an AFFILIATE LINK over there. Use it and I get some bonus tokens, but, if this one gets to a penny a token in the next year, they’re handing you a few hundred dollars.

Step Two: Open Up Your Spreadsheet(s)

You of course have a system for charting your holdings – I use Excel, but there are scores of ways to keep track of what you hold and that’s okay.

In my case, though, my Excel systems have helped me to chart everything that’s important in crypto:

  • What I hold
  • What I paid for it
  • What I sold it for
  • What revenue has been realized from any Passive Income Programs (PIPs).

YOU HAVE TO HAVE THIS INFORMATION FOR TAX PURPOSES. IT IS PART OF YOUR RESPONSIBILITY.

I’m an American: I’m not going to get into a debate here on taxation and cryptocurrency – and, as always, we have advised you to get professional help from an accountant and tax advisor. Don’t take this responsibility lightly – if you want the RIGHT to get into cryptocurrency, you have the responsibility to pay your taxes and do everything that is legally required of you. Soapbox speech over.

Step Three: Go Line By Line

Here’s where I go down the list and track where my investments are. The ones that aren’t PIPs can be tracked by a combo of Poloniex and CoinMarketCap.

My holdings might change, but my HODLings aren’t changing very often. Here’s a list of the ones that I track currently:

  • Bitcoin
  • Ethereum
  • Ripple
  • Litecoin
  • NEO
  • Walton
  • ChainLink
  • COSS (to buy this one, you need to go to coss.io).

Weekly or so, I update the BRED Portfolio – I’ll tweet results and sometimes update the blog, too.

Next, I check the PIPs that I’m currently involved with. Note that this list is MUCH SHORTER than it used to be:

  • Bitconnect. That’s an AFFILIATE LINK; however, I’ve begun divesting from my holdings there, using a three-step process to take profits. Instead of reinvesting daily profits, I’m (1) taking them in Bitconnect coins, (2) trading them for BTC, and (3) moving that BTC to another wallet.
  • Hexabot. We talked about this on the blog and had our AFFILIATE LINK REMOVED ON DECEMBER 5.
  • Chain.group. Another one I just heard about, and I have a small stake. Another AFFILIATE LINK.

I track all of my results in the main spreadsheet, and keep track of my total once per day – any more than that and you’re gonna drive yourself nuts.

One thing that I include on my spreadsheet is my tally on BTC Heat – which, yes, is a BTC game. Use that link to get started and it helps me grow my number of spins.

I mentioned POW Token above (still time to get yours with this AFFILIATE LINK) and one other thing that I’ve done to add to my stake is “validate” users. This can be an investment of a half hour or so; but, lately, they’re slowing down how many new users they bring in, so there has been less validation to be done.

I also check the price of POW on EtherDelta; if there’s more of a pullback or I’m feeling frisky, I’ll grab a few more for cheap.

Step Four: Twitter & Research

These two, believe it or not, can go hand in hand. That’s right: “Crypto Twitter” is great, and you can get great ideas about what coins you might want to research. Take it ALL with a grain of salt – you’re not going to get rich just because one random person tweets a coin’s cashtag and tells you it will “moon.”

People that I follow:

  • Sherlock – this guy is good, clever, and on the cutting edge with quite a few trades
  • Bambou Club – somewhere near the Adriatic; he’s also active on Medium with a periodic update on what’s going on in his world
  • Notsofast – trader, miner, lover of altcoins (though he uses a different word for them)
  • Tiffany Hayden – knows XRP backwards and forwards, but shares info about the tech side, too.

I could go on (and reserve the right to update this list down the road) but the point is that you pick a few people that share cool stuff and start hearing what they have to say. And, in my case, that means researching coins and platforms they are talking about.

Try to use a “10th Man” approach, too – if you see quite a few people talking about how great a coin is, or how this next ICO will make people rich overnight, figure out what could possibly go wrong with it. You might end up talking yourself out of making a semi-foolish investment.

A Note on YouTube

Right now, I can’t recommend any YouTubers that talk crypto. Why? My feed seems to be dominated by certain people who talk incessantly about their favorite passive income platform – it’s getting old, getting annoying, and extremely one-dimensional.

I’ll make more videos of my own in the future, but I actually want to add value when I do so – not just talk about my own multi-level marketing abilities.

AND…You Can Do All This In 30 Minutes!

That’s right, whether crypto is your day job or just a side hustle, you really only need to spend 30 minutes on this exercise. It will put you in the right frame of mind and get you ready to build your crypto fortune.

Go get ’em!

 

 

 

Metacoin Q&A – Simon Wajcenberg from POW Token

Time for another Q&A – this one featuring Simon Wajcenberg, one of the founders of the POW Token. We’ve been intrigued from the get-go – so we thought we’d ask a few questions of Simon. (We’re including our referral link throughout – we’re compensated with POW tokens if you use the link to sign up.)

Q: You launched on October 3 and had one of the more compelling value propositions: you were giving away the token to anyone and everyone, they just needed a Facebook account that wasn’t brand new. Why take that approach?

A: We believe that Ethereum will be part of the widespread adoption of Blockchain throughout the planet. Right now, the UI for decentralised Apps and services are pretty horrible. You’ve got to be a real believer (we are!) in order to persist and actually use a decentralised App or service. This will takes years of development by the crypto community until the UI is as easy as that which we expect on mass market web applications. In the mean time, we believe the only way to get mass market adoption is to build a bridge between the centralised “old world” and the decentralised “new world”. POWtoken hopes it is that bridge!

Q: Were you surprised by the initial reaction? (I mean, the servers couldn’t handle it at first…)

A: No – if anything we were slightly disappointed by the lack of PR for the launch. We really believe when the project takes off, we’ll be looking at hundreds of thousands of claims each day.

Because we had so little PR at the launch, we decided to cancel our AWS (Amazon) servers and stick with a cheaper, less scalable server hosting service. Yes this meant that the server could not handle the spike at the time of the launch, but within 30 mins we were back down to levels where the server had 90% spare capacity again. The whole project is done on a shoestring – we are not raising any money, and none of the team get paid in any form. We are all POW holders, just like everybody else who has claimed. We were careful to only give the founder team a collective 6.5% of the POW, to align our interests with all the other users. When the server utilisation starts to approach 75% utilisation we’ll start planning for AWS migration – we are still a way off that!

Q: You make the case on the site that each user of Bitcoin could have an implied value of in excess of $10,000. Care to elaborate on what that could mean for users of POW?

A: Much of the per user value in Bitcoin reflects expectations for the number of Bitcoin users growing to billions from their current level of possibly just over 10 million users. As the number of users approaches 1bn, the per user valuation should fall. Let’s assume it falls to just $200 a head – we’ll use the figure again below.

Our allocation structure accommodates 1bn claimers. We want the Twitter and Facebook users of the world to come and claim their POW allocation and to get their friends to as well.

So let’s look at the numbers. If we got to 1bn users, we would have a total supply of POW of 231b. If we assume the market cap of POWtoken.com at that point was $200b (1bn * $200), then the price of 1 POW would be 0.86 USD. That means the lucky person who got 10bn POW on 3rd October (the first claimant) would be worth over $8bn USD! The current free POW allocation is over 70,000 POW’lite’, and the referral scheme means you can earn another 70K for every person you refer who joins. It really is an extraordinary opportunity for us all to work together to increase adoption and share the benefit. *Editor’s note: as of this writing, 15 November, users claim 73,000 or so POW”lite.” This figure will continue to decrease.

Q: In the interest of full disclosure, not only am I using my referral link to earn more tokens, I’m also a “validator.” Can you please walk us through why that’s important work to be done?

POW LiteA: In the first few weeks we had quite a lot of accounts claiming that clearly had been created on Facebook purely to claim POW’lite’ This was against our Terms and Conditions. Our initial plan had been to use parameters from Facebook’s OAuth “Sign in With Facebook” toolkit to establish the creation date of each Facebook account and hence only allow accounts that had been created for at least 3 months to make a claim. At the time we were unaware that Facebook do not allow this, and do not allow work-arounds such as using the earliest post in the user’s timeline to estimate the creation date. We are in Facebook’s debt for allowing us to take advantage of their amazing OAuth technology, and want to be very careful to respect the letter and spirit of their guidelines. For that reason, we had to come up with an alternative, which is what the validation step does. We ask our existing users to take a look at the public profile page on Facebook of each new claimant, and determine if the account was created before a specific date. Every fake account that is avoided, saves a significant amount of POW, and enhances value for everybody in the network.

Q: As a validator, I’ve noticed quite a few users from Asian countries. Is there any part of the world that you’d like to see more traction for the coin?

A: POW is very popular in the Philippines, Vietnam and Indonesia. We are seeing increasing take up in South America (Venezuela and Brazil are hotspots). In the African continent, Nigeria is the leading edge. It’s exciting to see claims from such far flung communities as Greenland and the Cook Islands.

Q: How are things coming along with respect to the other milestones, such as Twitter users being able to send POW back and forth, or when the tokens can be traded on exchanges (beyond the EtherDelta ERC20 tokens that we can trade now)?

A: Twitter users sending to each other – within next 7 days

Twitter users and Facebook users sending to each other – within next 14 days

Extended Twitter referral scheme (sending POW to followers who are not POWtoken.com users) – within next 14 days

Twitter ‘TipBot’ – allowing Twitter users to “tip” each other POW’lite’ – within next 21 days

Bridge between POWtoken.com and Ethereum Blockchain – complete by end December.

Q: Any final thoughts for POW Token users and the future of the coin?

Let’s work together to increase crypto adoption. Any ideas you think can help, please get in touch via our social media channels – we are listeners!

Editor’s Note: You can find them on Twitter – and yes, they’re responsive folks. Thanks to Simon and the team for weighing in!

On Bitcoin $7000, Bitpetite SCAM, and Crypto Legitimacy

First of all, if you’ve been following this site, you know that we try to be as up front as possible. If we see a scam, we’ll point it out. We encourage you to do your own research (DYOR). We are adamant that you should not invest more than you can afford to lose. And we stress, sometimes in bold and italics, that this is all an experiment.

We took a break from blogging for a couple weeks – some of that was to be in our version of a decompression chamber of sorts. Let’s watch the action, let’s watch our baskets of eggs, and let’s ensure that we get our house in order in the background. In our absence – our last post on Bitconnect was on October 17 – we saw a couple things happen, and we’ll try to break them down for you now.

BTW, this might be as good a time as any for the only banner ad we can run on the site right now – that’s right, we’ll talk about how we, too, were scammed by Bitpetite and we’ve had to go back and scrub their ads. So here’s an AFFILIATE LINK for BITCONNECT. DYOR. Don’t invest more than you can afford to lose.

Thing 1: Bitcoin $7000

Hitting $7000 (USD) per Bitcoin seems like a really big deal, given our collective propensity to fall in love with large, round numbers.

Then, if you look back at past posts that talk about our BRED Portfolio, you’ll see that Bitcoin was at $4365 on October 1; this means that you could have brought home a 60 percent gain on your money in a shade more than a month.

That makes it a really HUGE deal.

Then, if you factor in the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) price plus consider the fact that one Bitcoin on January 1 of this year was $973, you’re actually sitting on at least a 6x return.

That is HUGH. MONGOUS.

But, in some respects, it is beside the point – the price of BTC doesn’t matter so much as the number of BTC you are able to accumulate.

You could possibly say that about dozens of coins or tokens – yes there will be some wheat and lots of chaff, but the super, blight-resistant, able to feed millions with one stalk kind of wheat that will emerge will be so valuable that the kings and queens of this new economy won’t much care the USD price.

Seriously – there’s a oft-repeated belief in the Bitcoin world that BTC is, indeed, going to $1 Million. Won’t be next year, in all likelihood (though stranger things have happened), and may not happen in the next twenty years. But it will happen.

We’ve had people ask two things: (1) is it too late to buy? and (2) is this a bubble? I’ll answer the first: no. Actually, let me be more emphatic: NO. If you’re not in the game, you’re not in the game – and because of the beauty of Bitcoin, you can drop $100 and get started and maybe trade a little or sock it away or whatever. (We recommend Coinbase, here’s an AFFILIATE LINK, and your $100 investment will get you a $10 bonus, something we’ll also get.)

But, wise sages at Metacoin HQ, is this a bubble?

Maybe it is. Maybe it isn’t. In some respects, that is not the point here – the point is that we are in accumulation mode, it’s a landgrab of sorts, and whether Bitcoin goes to $1 Million or drops to $1 might be beside the point. Here’s why:

Because of the way Bitcoin itself was set up and is structured and governed, 21,000,000 is the cap. No more will ever be issued.

While some are asking the bubble question, others – countless others – are building businesses and services and solutions that keep the Bitcoin movement alive and thriving. Bitcoin may end up being used to pay for cups of coffee, or it may end up being used to buy SUVs, or it may be replaced by an even better coin that is ubiquitous. In any event, if the price crashed today, the entire system wouldn’t immediately crash. Miners will still mine. Traders will still trade. Speculators will still speculate. If you think of Bitcoin as a country that has launched a brand new currency, maybe ask if anyone is using that currency or has the potential to use that currency. In that respect, we are just getting warmed up.

In other words…get in the game. Now.

[QUICK “SPONSOR BREAK” – If you haven’t signed up for the POW Token “Airdrop,” it’s not too late. Use this AFFILIATE LINK – POW Token Airdrop – then get ready for the next airdrop, coming next week.]

Thing 2: Bitpetite SCAM

Did we mention lately that this WHOLE THING is AN EXPERIMENT? Well it is.

As we’ve told you here a few times, we’ll put some of our own capital at risk with some of these Passive Income Platforms that we discuss. And, well, there seems to be a pretty below-average track record for these. Is it our luck? Is it the nature of the beast? Is it a combination?

The latest to go belly up is Bitpetite, and we’re annoyed – but not surprised. In fact, because of our experiments with Ambis and Control Finance and Bithaul, we have made it a habit of taking coins and tokens out at every opportunity. We encourage you to do the same.

We’re going to keep experimenting and putting our money at risk AND STRESSING THAT YOU SHOULD DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT INDICATE FUTURE RESULTS.

We now have just one PIP that we’re using – Bitconnect – but we’re looking at a few more. Stay tuned.

Bitpetite is gone – and we apologize for linking to it and promoting it. As we said, it’s an experiment. These things could fizzle.

This gives us an opportunity to suggest that you spread out your risk. It’s really the only way to go – multiple baskets, multiple investments, and multiple streams of crypto income.

Thing 3: Crypto Legitimacy

Honestly, there may not have been a better piece of news than the CME group announcing that Bitcoin futures would be available by the end of the year. In fact, that alone might drive the legitimacy that the Winkelvoss brothers were waiting for when they applied to have their ETF traded.

We cannot underscore enough that, even if there’s a large pullback in the price of Bitcoin, and if Ethereum and Litecoin and Ripple and a bunch of altcoins follow…it might not matter a ton because Bitcoin, blockchains and cryptocurrencies are, indeed, here to stay.

We’ll give you one brief example: we’ve been talking about POW Token a bit, and one of the things that we’ve done on the site is “validate” users. We do this for small numbers of tokens – but we’ve also learned a ton about where these folks are coming from.

To validate folks, we have to click on their Facebook profile and find evidence that it wasn’t a Facebook profile that was just recently created to get free tokens.

And…they’re not. But that’s not the point: these folks are from everywhere. Asia. South America. Europe. The Middle East. Even a few Americans!

Whether or not POW Token will become the next world beater is not actually the question to ask: it’s whether or not cryptocurrencies have hit critical mass (they have) and whether or not there’s the potential for value to be exchanged and these things are easy to use (they are).

The takeaway? Folks, with all this…the belief is that we are just getting started. So glad you’re along for the roller coaster ride.

Getting Started (Redux)

Several weeks ago, we posted a few ideas to get you started with cryptocurrency. You know, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and some of the other coins and tokens that we discuss on this here forum.

We thought that we’d spend some time today revisiting that idea: How Do You Get Started?

Our goal today is AN ACTIONABLE LIST. A few things to possibly whet your appetite.

We have a few ideas below – and, since this continues to be an experiment, some of the links are going to be different from the last time we did this. As usual, we’ll include a few AFFILIATE LINKS with this post (so we may be compensated if you take some sort of action, like signing up, buying currency, or investing) and we’ll be as blatant as we possibly can when we share one.

Let’s begin.

An Airdrop and This Will Cost You NOTHING

We talked about this “airdrop” last week and it’s still going on. Here’s a link to the POW Token webpage. Simply put, you sign up with your Facebook credentials and the token creators give you a bunch of tokens (or coins).

We have been asked “Why Are They Doing This?” and the best answer to that is that there’s value in a widely distributed network. While the creators make some…interesting…claims on their web page, there is something to the fact that a network with a million people using its product will be much more valuable in the long term than a network with just 30,000 users (which is where it stands today).

For now, think of this as a Western US land grab, and you’re putting stakes in the ground and hoping that it becomes fertile farmland in the future.

Coinbase – STILL the Fastest Way to Get Started

This one will cost you money, but one of the beautiful things about Coinbase (AFFILIATE LINK) is that, for Americans at least, there’s a decent amount of seamless integration between traditional banking and this new economy. The AFFILIATE LINK gives you a $10 bonus (paid in Bitcoin) if you spend $100 on any combination of the three currencies they offer (Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Litecoin). (And once you join in, you’ll get your own link and can invite others yourself and possibly be compensated…which is cool with us.)

Trade Coins on an Exchange

While there are a few established exchanges that we’d suggest – Bittrex, Cryptopia (AFFILIATE LINK) and Poloniex are three that we currently use – you should also consider signing up for one of the newer exchanges, too.

  • Altcoin Exchange (AFFILIATE LINK) may very well be lucrative for you – we know that other exchanges that started this way (through referrals) compensated their early adopters rather richly. Use our AFFILIATE LINK over there, and then start referring others yourself as you see fit.
  • WCX  (AFFILIATE LINK) is another one, with an ICO coming in a few weeks.
  • COSS is brand new. Not an affiliate link, but we do like the fact it’s based in Singapore and has developers throughout the world.

Passive Income Platforms

Yes, we have been talking A LOT about Passive Income Platforms, or PIPs, that can help you profit with limited amounts of effort. We currently recommend two of them – that’s not to say there aren’t others that are worth your time and investment, but these are the two that we (1) have experimented with and (2) have not let us down.

DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH! Seriously, with any of these, your coins could end up in a black hole of nothing. Don’t invest more than you can afford to lose.

  • Bitconnect (AFFILIATE LINK) is beautiful, we think, because it is backed by an actual coin, one that has a large market cap (as of this writing, around $1 Billion). The odds of it disappearing are small.
  • Bitpetite (AFFILIATE LINK) acts more like a mining platform, in that your “investment” will not be returned to you. However, we now have a nine-week track record of daily payments from the site; note that payments are larger during weekdays than weekends.

An Actionable List?

That’s our hope. You can spend a couple minutes on the first one and it costs you nothing, then, if you’re ready to invest some real money, you can consider trying the other ones out.

In any event, don’t invest more than you can afford to lose…once you get started in this world, it might get a little addictive.