Metacoin

Covering Bitcoin, the Blockchain, Altcoins, and Fintech

Ethereum

What Hath (The First Six Weeks of) 2021 Wrought?

We’re a few weeks past the GameStop Short Squeeze Apocalypse. Bitcoin has gone from $28,000-and-change on New Year’s Eve to north of $40,000. Altcoins seem to be flying off the shelves. Decentralized Finance is also on fire — if you pick the right one, natch — and the “degenerates” might be having their day.

So…what next?

Here’s some potential calm for the coming storm: a few ideas that, while they’re not financial advice and you need to DYOR (Do Your Own Research), could help you successfully hedge against the coming storms.

1. Just Buy and Hold Bitcoin

We’re reminded of a couple of conversations we’ve had recently with this little nugget of advice; both of the convos centered around “how do I get started?”

Bitcoin is…well…Bitcoin. If it’s not the centerpiece of a portfolio, that’s fine; but it’s also the core concept behind every single coin anyone uses. Without it, no crypto.

Ignore the fact that there’s a guy with a Twitter handle of “@russian_market” and somehow he got a blue checkmark — which gives him some sort of authority, right? — and take a look at his Bitcoin prediction for 2021.

Also consider the fact he may be smoking something.

[TIME FOR A CLEARLY MARKED AFFILIATE LINK: Get some BTC, or other crypto, on Coinbase here. We’ll both get a bonus with a qualifying purchase.]

But, if our Russian friend thinks Bitcoin is doing a 5- or 6x this year, shouldn’t we look down the list and…and…

2. Ethereum Is on Fire

If you’ve followed this space for a few years, one of the things you have learned is this: without Ethereum, crypto apps don’t work. In addition to being a currency unto itself — and one that’s trading at around $1800 as of this writing — on pretty much any of the app-centered parts of crypto, you absolutely have to have “gas” to operate. That gas is ETH. Without ETH, no trades on Uniswap, no liquidity pools on any other #DeFi app, and no yield farming to speak of.

Chart from CoinGecko, Graphics from Metacoin.co

Even if you don’t understand any of that previous paragraph — and, let’s face it, most of that is Greek to the everyday Joe — realize this point: Bitcoin’s market cap is inching towards $1T, and BTC is four-and-a-half times that of ETH; ETH is NEARLY TEN TIMES AS LARGE as the next crypto coin (Cardano, ticker of $ADA). Ethereum is big, it’s very important to the crypto economy, and it is not going away.

3a and 3b. #DeFi Building Blocks

We’ve made a few mistakes here — without a “warts and all” approach, we don’t think this site would have lasted, actually; we’d rather you read up on the $50 we blew on some crypto app than invest in it yourself and lose your own money — and a couple of those mistakes are related to two trades we made with Decentralized Finance (“DeFi”) coins that have caught fire.

First, item 3a. Yearn.finance is $YFI and, defying logic (er, “DeFi-ing logic”), had you gotten in on the ground floor — or, more accurately, the basement; only really truly early adopters got this price — you could conceivably have turned a grand into $1.4M.

Wait, what?

A more accurate description of the “woulda, shoulda, coulda” factor here is that you may have gotten in on perhaps the first or second floor of this high-rise. Our own experience had us taking a chance (by “taking a chance” that means a hundred bucks or so) on YFI when it was priced at $2000 to $3500. So we’re still doing okay. But…

3b.: Uniswap. $UNI. This beaut was an airdrop. Last year, the UNI team decided that the best way to get users on board with its coin was to gift it to ANY account that had used the platform. The airdrop gave 400 coins (or so, as one of ours got a few more than 400) that were valued at around $3 each. We hodled some, sold some others, and it has turned out nicely, hovering above $20 for most of this week. (TBH, though, the fact we sold some a couple weeks ago does irk us more than a little.)

4. Take a Chance on These?

We added a question mark because — AND AGAIN DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH — you are more likely to lose your entire stake in any of these coins than you are to make mad bank (as the kids say).

If you want a couple ideas, though, here goes:

Sushi ($SUSHI), which forked from Uniswap, has done well this year (currently trading in the low teens).

Dogecoin ($DOGE) is the love of folks like Elon Musk; it’s also projected by the Russian guy up there to go up at least 10x this year.

Kimchi ($KIMCHI) was thought to be dead — and may actually BE dead, in that there doesn’t seem to be any active developers still working on the project; this is called a “Rug Pull” and we explain it a little more in this post — but it is still throwing off triple-digit APY.

N.B. on pools such as KIMCHI: not only are pools like these highly risky, these interest rates will fluctuate wildly; you’re betting that KIMCHI stays stable (it has been ranging from $0.0002 to $0.0004 for the past few months) and that you don’t get totally whacked with growth of the other coin you pool it with. If one of the coins goes way up while the other stays at roughly the same value, you’ll be kinda okay; if one goes up and the other goes way down, you’re going to have some “impermanent loss” from the coin that doesn’t grow. We explain more here:

A lovely YouTube video from Dave

And A Final Few Notes:

We hope this post gives you a few ideas about how to maximize your investments. We need to share a couple other things here:

  1. Past performance (DUH) is not indicative of future results.
  2. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH.
  3. None of this is financial, legal, or tax advice.
  4. Of the coins mentioned above, we own small positions in the following: $BTC, $ETH, $UNI, $YFI, $SUSHI, and $KIMCHI.

The SHTF Portfolio*, Part One

If you’ve watched any prepper television shows — you know the ones, where they have a bugout bag and a 1976 Chevy Nova parked somewhere in the wilderness, then they plan on driving across the border and into another country, likely Mexico, but possibly Canada, and you can tell we’ve watched too many of these shows — you are aware of the SHTF acronym.

If you haven’t, let’s just assume it stands for “things get really bad.”

Watching the news, you might think the world is going to heck in a handbasket, but…well, all is not bad, because at least the car insurance ads tell you you can save tons by switching.

We’re here today to give some ideas — not advice, not counsel, see disclaimer below — and maybe these can help you if…well…you know.

This advice is culled from a few places, plus our own crypto experience. YMMV is another acronym and THIS one we can define for ya: “Your Mileage May Vary.”

So we need to tell you we don’t provide investment advice, and your experience may vary, and that we’re not responsible for success or failure. We hope you get rich, but, more importantly, we hope you stay safe and take care of yourselves.

*And…about that asterisk. This may NOT totally be a “portfolio” in the traditional sense. We’re not suggesting retirement money here, we’re suggesting different investments and platforms that can put you in the position to cut your losses when…well…when the SHTF moment happens.

Portfolio Idea #1: Cold, Hard Cash

You need it. If you’re in the USA, that means the greenback. If you’re in another country, your own currency may suffice, but (for now) the greenback is essential.

Recommended: $1000. That’s your emergency fund. Hide it somewhere, don’t tell anyone except the others in your house that need to know.

The inimitable Dave Ramsey recommends this amount as your emergency fund — this is the first of his “baby steps” which can help you get out of debt and right the ship.

However, in a super duper emergency like the one that necessitates the SHTF portfolio, getting out of debt might be the least of your worries.

Portfolio Idea #2: Precious Metals

These are the most fungible when they’re in smaller denominations. Recommended: a few hundred dollars to a few thousand dollars worth. Small units of gold, like 1/10 or 1/5 ounce, are great. Silver bars and coins and rounds — an ounce each — will get you by when the crazies come out. Hey, how much for that bag of groceries? How bout two ounces of silver? Great!

Gold and silver prices from the morning of Oct 22, 2020. Thanks, Apmex.com.

Now, a note about precious metals as an investment: your guess is as good as mine. There are analysts who follow gold and silver, and the stock prices of miners that get the stuff out of the ground; these people will tell you that they can only go up in price because of supply and demand and the inflation of the US Dollar. Great.

There are others, like the inimitable Dave Ramsey (referenced above) who think gold and silver are dumb.

Portfolio Idea #3a: A Coinbase Account

THIS PART INCLUDES A CLEARLY MARKED AFFILIATE LINK: Coinbase Affiliate Link. If you use that link to sign up and buy your crypto, we can both get a bonus after a qualifying purchase.

One reason you want to get on Coinbase if you haven’t already: ease of use. You will need a tool like this to move amounts of your crypto out of their wallets and into an actual bank account.

Another reason: some of their tutorials can pay you money. Here’s a list of a few, and, again, THESE ARE AFFILIATE LINKS:

We’ve used Coinbase for the past couple years and, if you need to move coins lickety-split, it’s one of the best ways to do so.

Portfolio Idea #3b: Crypto.com

HERE’S ANOTHER CLEARLY MARKED AFFILIATE LINK: Crypto.com. Our experience with this platform isn’t as long as ours with Coinbase, but we’ve gotten a decent ROI from a couple things.

One is the staking — which, in this #DeFi economy, is quite profitable, since platforms are paying interest in order to recruit people. You can get a percentage return — ours was about a 30% bump from when we bought in — just by parking your coins on their platform for a few months.

The other profitable angle: staking led to a bonus of $50 into our account, and $50 into the referrer’s account, too. (So yeah you can build a little empire if you want.)

Big, also, is the debit card from Crypto.com. Here’s the Black Card, which is slick. Ours is burgundy, and equally slick but took us less money to get started. It’s authorized by a US-regulated bank.

Crypto.com Black Card.

Portfolio Idea #4: Get Some Ethereum — ETH — Now!

We recommend two things here: a few hundred dollars of Ethereum, and a Metamask wallet.

WHY ETH and not BTC?

Simple: over the past couple years, while Bitcoin has ebbed and flowed, the use case — other than being the big 800-pound gorilla of the crypto universe — has been meh. Ethereum, however, has more of a use case, in our opinion, than XRP, which hoped to displace SWIFT for bank settlements.

Who cares about bank settlements, we think, when all of the #DeFi developments going on in 2020 rely upon ETH to make the transactions.

Sure “gas” prices could be high (that’s the amount of ETH needed to transact), but there are few alternatives that make sense.

Ethereum is still relatively cheap, down 72% from its all-time high of $1444. (That’s after a healthy morning bump to over $400.)

Recommendation: buy some — a few hundred dollars if you can spare that money — and score the Metamask wallet here: Metamask link.

Coming in Part 2…

Next post will look at a few specifics: some random coins, some basics, and some ways to potentially monetize right now if you need to. (And we’ll include ways that link back to the first part…)

The Blind Squirrel Crypto Portfolio

“In these uncertain times, count on Bitcoin. It’s there for you.”

Well, if Bitcoin could advertise during the pandemic, it would probably say something like that. It would also be total BS: nobody knows where the price of it, and its crypto brethren, will be tomorrow — when the unprecedented unemployment numbers send another jolt into the market –or a year from now, or at the end of 2021.

One of our goals here at Metacoin HQ is to at least introduce you to some of the coins that can potentially help diversify your portfolio. This is why we created something called the BRED portfolio in 2017, and why this year we came up with another idea: the Crypto Balance Portfolio.

You can’t buy #Tomatocoin yet.

Let’s Check in on the Balance Portfolio

If you’ve heard the phrase “every once in a while, a blind squirrel finds a nut,” you’ll see why we gave this blog post its name. A little dart throwing could have yielded similar results; as long as you have some Bitcoin in your portfolio, you’ll probably do okay.

A 25.59% gain.

When we launched this portfolio, it was weighted as follows:

  • 30% Bitcoin
  • 20% Ethereum
  • 10% each of Ripple’s XRP, MCO, EOS, VeChain, and PAX Gold.

Turns out that this weighting helped us quite a bit, since half of the portfolio was invested in assets that appreciated almost 30% (Bitcoin) and 59% (Ethereum). And that helped make up for some of the “meh” performance, like that of VET (VeChain), which is the only loser so far in 2020.

What’s Next?

Every four years, Bitcoin does something called “halving:” cutting in half the reward given to miners. This is scheduled for May 11 — you can look at a nifty countdown clock here — and the block reward drops to 6.25 bitcoins.

So that means what? Good question: some people think the current price factors in that reward, while others think that the supply and demand equation can only mean that, with fewer bitcoins available over time, we’re strapping in for a rocket ride.

The answer is probably somewhere in the middle: volatility, followed by a bull market, followed by more volatility.

In other words, maybe a balanced portfolio can help you hedge your bets.

NOTE: This isn’t investment advice, do your own research, and we’re not responsible for your success or failure.

FINALLY…

Here’s a CLEARLY MARKED AFFILIATE LINK: if you want to pick up some coins, you can use our link at Crypto.com or Coinbase and we’ll both get compensated with a qualifying purchase.

Checking in on the BRED Portfolio

If you want an answer to the volatility in the financial markets, is it possible that the BRED Portfolio — our 2017 combination of Bitcoin, (Ripple’s) XRP, Ethereum, and Dash — could be just the thing?

Well, maybe and maybe not. However, if you are looking for a hedge against a big chunk of other assets, maybe BRED is the answer to your questions. Let’s take a look at how it is faring in 2020, how a couple other things are faring, as well as how BRED would have fared if you had bought in 2017 and left it alone. (The Ultimate HODLer Portfolio.)

First, Here’s the 2020 BRED Portfolio This Morning

A decent return, no?

You would have a tough time to find a YTD asset class with a 42.67 percent growth so far this year. Right?

A quick Google search yields this result, where the US Long Treasury Index yields the best result. (There’s a feeble attempt at a yield pun in that sentence, since it’s an index that tracks the yield of US Treasurys.) 20-plus percent for that one.

From Vanguard.com

What about precious metals? Didn’t they do okay?

Answer? No.

Remind me to further study the palladium market later.

TL;DR — Bitcoin and its Ilk Win So Far in 2020

Whether or not it’s the ultimate Ron Popeil portfolio — “Set It and Forget It” — remains to be seen. But you could have done a heck of a lot worse with other assets in 2020.

Which lead us to the question about the OGs, the ones who have HODLed their BTC (and ETH, XRP, and DASH) and are just kicking back. How would they have done?

Wow…

This is a 16-bagger.

Well this is something to behold. (Not that you can find anyone who bought Bitcoin in early 2017 AND held it AND isn’t a public Bitcoin bull AND would actually tell you that they’ve bought and held.)

So there you have it…if you’re not a day trader and maybe an investor and have some cash to set aside, a portfolio that you pretty much ignore might do the trick.

Of course, we should tell you that you’re on your own and we aren’t responsible for your successes or failures.

Happy investing!

‘Congratulations, You’ve Only Lost 13 percent!’

When the first Financial Crisis hit, we discovered the brilliant Australian satirists Clarke & Dawe. Their take on the European Debt Crisis is worth a watch.

The perspective from Clarke’s character is a propos for today’s post: only losing 13% on a portfolio of crypto assets is, with all that is going on, not too bad.

Choppy Waters
Strap in, #Crypto traders

The Balance Portfolio is Kinda Sorta Hanging in There

We created our Balance Portfolio as an alternative to the BRED Portfolio (more on the 2020 version of that below). We didn’t create it as a panacea to cure market woes from the Coronavirus, though; as we discussed yesterday, we think it may very well get worse before it gets better.

Given all of what is going on, 13 percent isn’t bad, right?

Balance Portfolio as of Today

Down so far…but not as bad as you’d expect

Granted, lots of green numbers appear on the screen today, so had we done this yesterday, it would possibly have looked 5 to 7 percent worse.

(One of my personal faves is VeChain (VET); note that it’s also the worst performer in our portfolio. Still bullish on this one, though.)

But, for a pleasant surprise, check the BRED performance so far this year:

BRED Portfolio as of Today

Better performance; slightly surprising.

DASH is slightly ahead of BSV as the winner here; though, with all of the noise that accompanied BSV and its founder — who claims that he’s Satoshi or something — BSV could drop any second now. Plus, the percentage at stake is tiny when compared to DASH, which started at 25% of the portfolio and is now more than one-third.

What Can We Make of This?

Probably not too much, yet. There’s a chance for more of a pullback, or there’s that possibility that the “flight to safety” will happen, still.

The question that remains: are crypto investors whistling past the graveyard, or — like the guy who did the webinar I watched who thinks he can make you rich; maybe he can, maybe he can’t, we don’t know — are there gems that will still pop (just not immediately)?

If You’re Bullish, Here Are a Couple Picks

We made the bearish case yesterday — just for Bitcoin which, possibly, will drag the rest of the market downward with it — and it’s time to make a bullish case for a couple coins that we’ve picked up recently.

  1. We still like VeChain. In fact, we *think* it was one of the “high market cap/under a penny each” coins that was touted by the same investor guru referenced above;
  2. We also like Harmony — ONE is its ticker — and this one has a low market cap (around $10m at last check).
  3. Don’t forget about PAXG, which is tied to the price of gold; each coin is backed by an ounce of gold. (AFFILIATE LINK: You can get it on Crypto.com and we may be compensated if you make a qualifying purchase.)

Here’s to strapping in for the very choppy waters.