Metacoin

Covering Bitcoin, the Blockchain, Altcoins, and Fintech

David Van de Walle

Obligatory Blog Post About NFTs

We actually thought about posting an article that was just a bunch of Greeking text: you know, “Lorem ipsum” and the like, over and over again, for paragraph after paragraph. We’d drop in a couple NFT references, maybe say OpenSea with a link to OpenSea, and we’d be sure to include hashtags.

After all, #NFTs are having a moment; so much of a moment that Saturday Night Live tried to explain them on last night’s show.

(Metacoin Grade: B+. Clever, some cute references, just nerdy enough. McKinnon’s Yellen wasn’t too convincing, though.)

Of Course We Have Our Own NFTs

That’s right, it wouldn’t be a crypto bandwagon without everyone jumping on board, and that includes Team Metacoin, whose Obvious Statement collection aims to take advantage of the intersection between memes and finance. For instance, here’s one piece we’re auctioning off:

(If you think we think anyone’s going to bid 10 ETH on this, you misunderestimate us.)

But Why, Though?

A rather apocryphal story from college goes like this: Philosophy professor arrives for final exam, hands out the little blue exam books, and writes the final exam question on the chalkboard. “Why?”

Student opens his exam book, writes his response: “Why not?”

Student gets an A.

Akin to the wise student, most of the involvement in NFTs these days — by everyone from athletes to gamers to Taco Bell — is a little about chasing the shiny object and a lot about sensing an opportunity whose opportunity cost is minimal. While it took Metacoin years to understand what the heck is going on in this whole crypto universe, it really only took a few minutes to create an NFT and plop it on the blockchain. Can you really blame Mark Cuban for leveraging his billion-plus dollars to try to make a billion-plus more?

Here’s a brilliant point from a recent interview with Bloq.com’s Phil Gomes (and you can watch the 5-minute snippet below): People love to collect things. You can’t really do much with a collection of dollars, or Satoshis, but you sure as heck can do a lot with a collection of NFTs — you can admire them, you can collect more, you can brag about their one-of-a-kind-ness.

Where’s This All Going?

Often, you’ll hear Bitcoin and crypto pundits say things like “it’s a marathon, not a sprint,” or “we’re in the first inning of a nine-inning ballgame.”

And you’ll also hear traditional financial pundits ask if you’re old enough to remember the Beanie Babies craze of the 90s, and how kids were bankrolling their college educations with just a few collectibles — but the same pundits are also suggesting that it is just that, a craze whose time was just a blip on the financial timeline.

The answer is probably somewhere in between. Some of these things have sorta kinda jumped the shark. Some others? Real staying power — we think.

And, since this is an obligatory NFT post, we should use an obligatory close:

Watch this space for more.

Interview with Phil Gomes from Bloq

Our HQ is near Chicago, and there’s been no stronger Chicago-area cryptocurrency and blockchain firm than Bloq.com.

The company continues launching products and services and its most-recent #DeFi launch, Vesper, already has north of $300m Total Value Locked (TVL).

Metacoin’s Dave Van de Walle chatted with Bloq’s Phil Gomes recently, and our discussion went nearly an hour with a ton of information shared.

Here’s a link to the full interview:

And, if you just want to watch highlights (which is okay with us), first here’s Phil talking about the industry’s need for yield giving rise to #DeFi:

Then, here’s Phil’s take on NFTs:

We hope you enjoy this lively discussion.

What Hath (The First Six Weeks of) 2021 Wrought?

We’re a few weeks past the GameStop Short Squeeze Apocalypse. Bitcoin has gone from $28,000-and-change on New Year’s Eve to north of $40,000. Altcoins seem to be flying off the shelves. Decentralized Finance is also on fire — if you pick the right one, natch — and the “degenerates” might be having their day.

So…what next?

Here’s some potential calm for the coming storm: a few ideas that, while they’re not financial advice and you need to DYOR (Do Your Own Research), could help you successfully hedge against the coming storms.

1. Just Buy and Hold Bitcoin

We’re reminded of a couple of conversations we’ve had recently with this little nugget of advice; both of the convos centered around “how do I get started?”

Bitcoin is…well…Bitcoin. If it’s not the centerpiece of a portfolio, that’s fine; but it’s also the core concept behind every single coin anyone uses. Without it, no crypto.

Ignore the fact that there’s a guy with a Twitter handle of “@russian_market” and somehow he got a blue checkmark — which gives him some sort of authority, right? — and take a look at his Bitcoin prediction for 2021.

Also consider the fact he may be smoking something.

[TIME FOR A CLEARLY MARKED AFFILIATE LINK: Get some BTC, or other crypto, on Coinbase here. We’ll both get a bonus with a qualifying purchase.]

But, if our Russian friend thinks Bitcoin is doing a 5- or 6x this year, shouldn’t we look down the list and…and…

2. Ethereum Is on Fire

If you’ve followed this space for a few years, one of the things you have learned is this: without Ethereum, crypto apps don’t work. In addition to being a currency unto itself — and one that’s trading at around $1800 as of this writing — on pretty much any of the app-centered parts of crypto, you absolutely have to have “gas” to operate. That gas is ETH. Without ETH, no trades on Uniswap, no liquidity pools on any other #DeFi app, and no yield farming to speak of.

Chart from CoinGecko, Graphics from Metacoin.co

Even if you don’t understand any of that previous paragraph — and, let’s face it, most of that is Greek to the everyday Joe — realize this point: Bitcoin’s market cap is inching towards $1T, and BTC is four-and-a-half times that of ETH; ETH is NEARLY TEN TIMES AS LARGE as the next crypto coin (Cardano, ticker of $ADA). Ethereum is big, it’s very important to the crypto economy, and it is not going away.

3a and 3b. #DeFi Building Blocks

We’ve made a few mistakes here — without a “warts and all” approach, we don’t think this site would have lasted, actually; we’d rather you read up on the $50 we blew on some crypto app than invest in it yourself and lose your own money — and a couple of those mistakes are related to two trades we made with Decentralized Finance (“DeFi”) coins that have caught fire.

First, item 3a. Yearn.finance is $YFI and, defying logic (er, “DeFi-ing logic”), had you gotten in on the ground floor — or, more accurately, the basement; only really truly early adopters got this price — you could conceivably have turned a grand into $1.4M.

Wait, what?

A more accurate description of the “woulda, shoulda, coulda” factor here is that you may have gotten in on perhaps the first or second floor of this high-rise. Our own experience had us taking a chance (by “taking a chance” that means a hundred bucks or so) on YFI when it was priced at $2000 to $3500. So we’re still doing okay. But…

3b.: Uniswap. $UNI. This beaut was an airdrop. Last year, the UNI team decided that the best way to get users on board with its coin was to gift it to ANY account that had used the platform. The airdrop gave 400 coins (or so, as one of ours got a few more than 400) that were valued at around $3 each. We hodled some, sold some others, and it has turned out nicely, hovering above $20 for most of this week. (TBH, though, the fact we sold some a couple weeks ago does irk us more than a little.)

4. Take a Chance on These?

We added a question mark because — AND AGAIN DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH — you are more likely to lose your entire stake in any of these coins than you are to make mad bank (as the kids say).

If you want a couple ideas, though, here goes:

Sushi ($SUSHI), which forked from Uniswap, has done well this year (currently trading in the low teens).

Dogecoin ($DOGE) is the love of folks like Elon Musk; it’s also projected by the Russian guy up there to go up at least 10x this year.

Kimchi ($KIMCHI) was thought to be dead — and may actually BE dead, in that there doesn’t seem to be any active developers still working on the project; this is called a “Rug Pull” and we explain it a little more in this post — but it is still throwing off triple-digit APY.

N.B. on pools such as KIMCHI: not only are pools like these highly risky, these interest rates will fluctuate wildly; you’re betting that KIMCHI stays stable (it has been ranging from $0.0002 to $0.0004 for the past few months) and that you don’t get totally whacked with growth of the other coin you pool it with. If one of the coins goes way up while the other stays at roughly the same value, you’ll be kinda okay; if one goes up and the other goes way down, you’re going to have some “impermanent loss” from the coin that doesn’t grow. We explain more here:

A lovely YouTube video from Dave

And A Final Few Notes:

We hope this post gives you a few ideas about how to maximize your investments. We need to share a couple other things here:

  1. Past performance (DUH) is not indicative of future results.
  2. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH.
  3. None of this is financial, legal, or tax advice.
  4. Of the coins mentioned above, we own small positions in the following: $BTC, $ETH, $UNI, $YFI, $SUSHI, and $KIMCHI.

Biden Wins, Crypto and DeFi Pop; Will 2021 Be More of the Same?

After a few days of uncertainty, it looks like Joe Biden will be the next President of the United States. What does that possibly mean for the crypto market, and for DeFi (“decentralized finance”)? Let’s dive in just a little and find out.

BTC: Pretty Bullish 7 Days

Whether or not correlation equals causation this week is questionable; the BTC chart from the past seven days is actually quite interesting, though, as once it seemed it was likely going to be Biden and not Trump, the price went up.

Are these things connected?

A couple of weeks before the election, I asked my friend Von what he thought a Biden win would do for the crypto markets; this is what he said:

Doom and gloom?

At this point, though, the stock market has been fine — most prognosticators had priced in various scenarios and the markets really like the prospect of a Biden administration being held in check by a Republican Senate — and the Fed has held its own (and held interest rates where they are), and the prospects of an economy tanking seem pretty low.

The bullish BTC case, though, may have little to do with the economy writ large (or your 401(k)’s value) and more to do with things like money supply — the Fed still has the money printer; it still goes “Brrrrr” — and whether or not the US Dollar’s days as the world’s reserve currency could be numbered*.

(*By “could be numbered,” it should be noted, that’s a real real tall order that wouldn’t happen overnight and even the most fervent anti-dollar or pro-gold standard folks probably wouldn’t see that in a decade at the least.)

In any event, the numbers below — the 24-hour “sentiment” from CoinGecko and the percentage gains over most of the measured periods, with a real OMG for the 12-month prices — show that BTC can weather the storm of a Trump administration and a coronavirus pandemic and emerge stronger. The question remains whether these trends continue.

What About DeFi?

One of our biggest DeFi holdings is Yearn.Finance ($YFI) and we’ve bragged about it a couple times here, including in this piece: When You Realize You Should Have Bought More. It has had quite the week, actually, dropping sharply and snapping back to life almost as quickly.

Huge Mood.

If you think of YFI as proxy for all of DeFi, you might think this bodes incredibly well. And you may be right. Or you may be wrong.

Another Huge Swing.

Had you bought in at the low and exited at the top — HA! Nobody Did That! — you’d be sitting on an insane profit.

But that’s not the point here and that’s not the point of most of the DeFi tokens like YFI. The point is APY (Annual Percentage Yield) and that’s where you’ll find much more mystery in DeFi.

Are the assets themselves valuable enough? Or are you playing the “yield farming” and “HODL” game, hoping to maximize on, in theory, an asset you buy at $1000 and get a yield of 50% from AND that asset jumps to $2000 or $5000 or $20,000?

And does the Presidency have ANYTHING to do with that at all?

There’s Much More DeFi Mystery

So many questions:

  • Will President Biden be pro-innovation in the financial sector?
  • Will his administration be interested in digital currency at all?
  • Is anything favorable to DeFi immediately assumed to be anti-banking, or anti-big bank?

Bitcoin might be a little easier to figure out, right? BTC is the people’s currency and just maybe it and the US Dollar can coexist. DeFi, though, is much more mysterious; yield farming is new-ish and YFI is a 2020 innovation. It all happens outside of the purview of any government and, despite YFI failing the “Howey Test” and not being considered a security by the SEC (for now, we guess), you would suspect that the opportunity to tax anything that throws off the kinds of profits thrown off by DeFi is looked at by a Democratic administration as potentially lucrative.

Your Guess? As Good As Ours

The point, though, is that we’re onto a new day in crypto and DeFi. While none of this post should be construed as financial advice, perhaps the best way to ride the actual crypto back-and-forth, and the wild mood swings of the days ahead, is to actually get in the game.

Bitcoin has proved itself resilient. DeFi — as reflected by YFI — maybe a little crazier. 2021 could bring much more growth, or it could see huge pullbacks. But you won’t find out until you actually, well, find out.