Bitcoin

Jan 18 2020

A Balanced 2020 Crypto Portfolio

We struggled with this one for a little while, and you can’t really blame us: 2019 was a meh year for crypto, and our typical portfolio wouldn’t exactly be the way to go for 2020. Plus, a bunch of new entrants — both projects and categories — caught our eye last year.

Our first question: Does the BRED Portfolio makes sense anymore? Given the fact that Bitcoin had a good year and the others didn’t, does the mix of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple’s XRP, and Dash still give you the kind of portfolio that will propel your crypto investments into the stratosphere?

ALSO, it may not be about the “into the stratosphere” anymore for you. And that’s okay. In any event, we have to figure out if there’s another way to do this.

First Up…How Did BRED Do?

Glad you asked: weird year for sure. Let’s look at the numbers:

So, in the interest of consistency, here’s what the 2020 BRED Portfolio would look like.

However, we don’t think this is the kind of portfolio to focus on for the year(s) ahead. We’ll give a couple reasons why we *think* there’s a rebalancing ahead.

Bitcoin still makes sense, but Ethereum less so.
Ripple is working on a ton of partnerships, but hasn’t grown like before.
Dash didn’t catch fire on the consumer-facing front.
Way too much else going on.

Let’s Follow the Trends and Create a New Portfolio

Without further ado, here you go: the 2020 Crypto Balance Portfolio.

So, what have we done here?

First Up, MOAR Bitcoin

If a stock went up 90% in a year, would you still want it in your portfolio? Or would you take profits?

Good question, and we address that at least a little by (a) keeping BTC in the portfolio and (b) ratcheting it up to 30% of the overall $10,000.

While I wouldn’t go so far as this commentator who thinks Bitcoin will go to $400,000 after its “halving” (when the mining rewards for Bitcoin are cut in half) in May, Bitcoin has cemented itself as the blue chip of cryptos during the past couple years.

You’ll also see that, in this Crypto Balance portfolio, we’ve ignored the forks. If there are notable forks this year, we can take those into account; but “forkening” isn’t that much of a deal the past couple years.

Ethereum, Still, Has a Role

We’ve done some writing on these pages about projects like Megacryptopolis; you can’t play with any of those NFTs, and you can’t trade any assets on OpenSea without ETH that’s in a Metamask wallet (or some other ETH wallet).

Ethereum is really a two-sided coin (ha!) — with quite a few bearish cases on the internet, and a few bullish ones, too. We think the bullish case outweighs the bearish case, though. We’re keeping it in, but dropping it down to 20%.

About the Other Five…

If our goal is a “balanced” portfolio…uh…what the heck does that mean?

In our case, we achieve some level of balance with the other 5 assets in this portfolio, each at ten percent:

XRP — The coin from Ripple still aims to underpin bank transfers, a la SWIFT. Also, if you still believe in the long-term prospects of the project, under a quarter per coin is not a bad deal at all.

MCO — We lurrve this coin. (That’s a technical term, like HODL.) Not just because you can get some for free just by jumping through a couple of hoops [DISCLOSURE ALERT: AFFILIATE LINKS IN THAT ARTICLE] but because they are doing the regulatory thing correctly. We’re American, and bank laws are pretty important to follow.

EOS — I’ll admit to still being really skeptical, but also see the benefits of owning some EOS as an anti-ETH.

VeChain (VET) — This has potential, thanks to the Toolchain, to be the standard corporate “Blockchain-as-a-Service” solution. Partnerships right and left throughout the world. Tremendously undervalued.

VET’s website tells you what they’re up to.

PAX Gold (PAXG) — One really clever idea is to tie the price of a coin to an ounce of gold — so it’s like Tether, but with gold behind it. Also helps the “gold bugs” get into crypto while helping the crypto bugs get into gold.

And…There You Go

Whether this will catch fire like the 2017 edition of BRED or stall like the 2018 edition of BRED or do nothing like the 2019 edition of BRED…all that remains to be seen. But the plan is that we’ll track both all year and see what happens from there.

Stay tuned. 2020 should be interesting.

Apr 15 2019

The 2019 Tax Day Crypto Portfolio

Happy Tax Day, ‘Merica!

If you’re visiting this site from elsewhere in the world, welcome! Great to have you here. We Americans have a deadline of today to pay our Federal income taxes and boy is that fun this year. You may have heard about a tax cut last year and the ensuing OMG factor that came next: “the rich paid nothing and I don’t get a refund anymore!”

That’s not entirely true. Because of withholdings and how much some people had – or didn’t have – taken out of their paychecks, it *sounds* like lots of people had smaller refunds this tax season.

Some of you, though, may be getting a little money back. Or, in this roaring economy, you may find yourselves with cash to spend, or invest.

We’re here for ya!

What Happened to Our Other Portfolios?

Oh, you mean like BRED and the “Hedge Fund?” Well, as we spend our time getting this site back and running after the “Crypto Winter,” we plan on revisiting those, too.

For now, though, we’ve decided to give you three options: Small, Medium, and Large. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH, this is not investment advice, and remember that you may lose a little, a lot, or ALL of your capital with anything.

Here goes.

SMALL PORTFOLIO (Like, $100-$500)…What to Do, What to Do?

TBH, we’d stay away from speculating on high-fliers. We’ve been there, it can get ugly if something goes completely belly up.

In fact, if you want to spend all of your small portfolio on crypto, here’s what we’d recommend:

First: Divide it in Half

Let’s use $500 as the number here. Take half and just put it in a Coinbase account and leave it there. You can get one of 11 currencies at Coinbase (THAT’S AN AFFILIATE LINK OVER THERE AND YOU CAN GET A BONUS AND WE GET A BONUS, TOO, WITH QUALIFYING PURCHASE) and we’d stick with Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum (or just pick one) and leave it there. You’re in the game with $250 and you won’t feel the need to play around. Which brings us to the other half…

Then: Play Around

We’ve made no secret here that we’re now taking quite a deep dive into a crypto gaming community called MegaCryptoPolis. (ANOTHER AFFILIATE LINK THERE.) For this, you need Ethereum and a Metamask account to keep the two safe and in sync.

We’ve had fun so far with this game – we’re playing with house money, so to speak, as we cashed in “Airdrops” from the past couple years. If you look at your tax refund as house money, you might have some fun, too. Plus, there’s a bit of a gambling element, in that you’re taking a chance on which cool “Citizen” you’ll end up with. Here’s our favorite so far, she means business and we’ve named her “Sloan.”

MegaCryptoPolis “Professional” Who Means Business

MEDIUM PORTFOLIO: $1000-$5000

With this portfolio, we’d suggest you figure out how much – if any – speculation you want to do, and how much you just want to park in something (somewhat) safe.

If you’re not the play money type, then you can consider revisiting BRED: “Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum, and Dash.”

We just went back to the concept of dividing money equally between the four “core” coins of the BRED portfolio. We also considered “forks” by investing proportionally between the two forked coins; i.e. since Bitcoin’s price is roughly 19 times higher than Bitcoin Cash (BCH), we invested 19 times as much in Bitcoin.

Here’s what it looks like as of this morning:

This is also a “set it and forget it” portfolio — with the idea that you’re not going to spend way too much time looking at the price growth in any of these.

You also may not get rich off of this portfolio, either: assume that the ship has sailed on the OMG I’M RICH!!! portfolios of a few years ago, as you’re not getting in on the ground floor on XRP (the coin from Ripple, which is why it’s known as “BRED” in this portfolio) with the hopes it will go to $20,000 per.

But this would be a good, safe, crypto bet if you can afford it.

WHALE PORTFOLIO: $5,000 on up

Okay, look at the below chart of seven currencies’ “sparkline” graphs from the past seven days. Fourth from the top (nearing its high) and seventh from the top (all upside last week) look most compelling. Curious?

These two might be somewhat worthwhile to take a stab at. BCH is Roger Ver‘s Bitcoin fork – “it’s the real Bitcoin” is what he’ll tell you. BNB is Binance Coin and that’s an equally compelling Asian crypto exchange that’s always doing interesting things – such as burning its own coins, which Twitter friend @BambouClub tells you might be right around the corner.

Both of these large coins — the above chart is from the Top 7 by market cap — and both are likely to be around for a while. We’d suggest considering them as part of your WHALE PORTFOLIO (said in all caps because why not) and here’s how that *could* look (DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH!):

60 percent BRED
20 percent Large Market Cap Coins, with 10 percent each in BCH and BNB
20 percent on interesting use case coins — projects in which you see potential.

That third category is where you’ll have to, again, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH; you’ll also need to rely on gut and also sort through whether they’re good blockchain projects, good crypto exchanges, good business models, or just good ideas. Or all four.

Since you’re doing 20 percent in this category, you can pick three or four and, if any one of them goes belly up, you won’t be totally rekt.

Ideas for This Part of the WHALE PORTFOLIO

Here are a few projects to check out:

BitTube (TUBE): Someone’s going to try to take on YouTube’s market dominance and do it through the blockchain. BitTube is one such player (though, honestly, PewDiePie is headed over to DLive, which is on Steemit, so maybe his name recognition gives that platform an advantage).

Storj (STORJ): Decentralized, blockchain-enabled storage is a concept that we’re sure will take off. Whether it’s Storj or someone else remains to be seen.

Quantstamp (QSP) bailed us out in the past by analyzing smart contracts. You buy some of their coin to do that and it’s a pretty seamless thing.

And Paragon (PRG) is doing the cannabis thing — fits and starts during their development but worth looking at, as they now do both a “WeWork-for-cannabis” and a “seed-to-sale” tracking platform.

UPSHOT: Your Tax Refund Can Work For You, Maybe, With Luck

We’re just here with a few ideas, that’s all. And Lord knows there are folks anxious about getting back in, and curious about whether we’ll see another bull run ever. So, again, look around, do your research, and, if you’re ready, dive in!

Happy Tax Day!

May 30 2017

When Bitcoin Volatility Is Your Friend

How ya holdin’ up there, kiddo? Enjoying the markets? Did you find the thrill ride known as Bitcoin to be exciting? Are you still in okay shape?

Still doing okay? (And if you’re still new to all this, hop on over here to this post and learn all about how to get started.)

Your mood might depend upon a few variables. First of all, whether you believe long-term in Bitcoin (which we’ll use in this post as the catch-all currency) and what it means for the economy. If you do believe, you may have bought in at lower numbers than what’s above. And, if you did, you probably didn’t look to sell at the first opportunity.

Another mood enhancer may be whether or not you tried to buy the dips. BTC at close to $2700 (above chart from Poloniex, so your experience and trading platform may vary) wouldn’t have given you a dip opportunity, but BTC dropping into the $1900s, then $1800s, then below? Any of those would have been buying opportunities for the long-term trader.

If you think Bitcoin is going to $5000 this year, then $2000 is a buying opportunity. $1538 is a golden buying opportunity.

Finally, again here’s our magic word: “Fundamentals.” The fundamentals of Bitcoin are strong, in our opinion here at Metacoin (that link is to our Facebook account and we would love your “likes”), so we’re bound to look at these moves as means of testing our hypotheses. Is Bitcoin strong enough to weather a drop into the $1500s? Does the volatility actually work in our favor – weeding out “panic sellers,” and bringing in long-term investors?

If there were a “State of the Union” for Bitcoin, we think that moving from a May 1 price of $1435 to today’s price of $2200 or so means that the state of Bitcoin is strong. Volatile, sure…but strong.

Leveraging Volatility Through Bitconnect

One more thing about volatility, and this last part is an Affiliate Link; since this whole site is a learning experience, we’re planning on…learning together.

We’ve just signed up at Bitconnect, and it’s a rather unique program. You lend Bitcoin through their platform, they trade it, using highly specialized bots and algorithms to use volatility to your advantage. The interest rates are compelling as heck – compounding daily at a half a percent can mean that money starts to add up quickly.

You can sign up for free – use the link above so this site gets credit, and we’ll get a bonus for your signup, should you eventually lend some of your hard-earned Bitcoin.

Our plan is to start lending in the next several days, then kick back and track the results. It could get pretty interesting – and we’ll share our results, warts and all.

Til then, stay strong.

May 01 2017

Confirmed: #BRED Portfolio on #FIRE

We keep talking about the “BRED Portfolio,” a basket of four cryptocurrencies – Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum, and Dash – and there’s a reason why: it’s on fire.

BRED: The Background

Last month on this site, we thought we’d do a little “backtesting,” with our theory that four of the most prevalent cryptos might just be four coins that could line your pocketbook rather nicely. So we did just that, and you can see the original post here: Quadruple your money with the BRED Portfolio.

Similar to what the tech people talk about with “FANG” – Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google – you’re buying a basket that’s supposed to sorta kinda (technical term) replicate the market; as FANG goes, you’ll have a rather good sense of how other tech stocks are going. And with BRED, you’ll have a good sense of how digital currencies (or crypto or altcoins or whatever you want to call these things) are doing.

Did We Mention BRED = FIRE?

Here’s what the portfolio has looked like over the past four months:

(Prices are from Poloniex and reflect market prices at 00:00 GMT. Note that, in the case of Ripple, the price is rounded in the above chart, but is carried out to eight decimal points.)

$10,000 invested equally in Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum, and Dash on January 1, 2017 would be worth $72,585.89 today.

What If…You Started on April 1?

To say April was a great month for the portfolio – and for the crypto industry – is an understatement: The portfolio grew 70.5% from April 1 ($42,567.69) to today.

Or, if you just had $10,000 to invest on April Fool’s Day, AND you went back and divided your $10,000 equally and used April 1 prices to buy coins, you would not have been a fool – you would now have $17,243.04.

Caveat: What Goes Up…

Yeah, we have that Blood, Sweat and Tears song in our heads, too.

Listen to the lyrics and proceed with caution.

But still, BRED is on FIRE.

Apr 27 2017

ETF News: Ethereum, or Bitcoin, or Both?

The cryptocurrency chatrooms and websites were abuzz yesterday with a double whammy of potentially good news: the SEC (the US Securities and Exchange Commission) was considering two separate exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications, one for Ether (Ethereum) and one for Bitcoin.

You can read more about it – and you may want to bookmark these sites, too – as other sites that cover the space were discussing the implications for the crypto community, blockchain developers, and traders as well:

Zero Hedge on the Ethereum (ETH) price surge
Coin Telegraph on the possibilities for both ETH and Bitcoin (BTC)
Coin Desk says the original ETH ETF application was filed in July 2016.

What happened last time?

Funny how the crypto space moves lightning fast. While it may seem like “way back when” that the SEC ruled against the Bitcoin ETF, it was actually only on March 10, 2017. That’s not quite seven weeks ago.

The price of Bitcoin did some crazy things in the weeks leading up to the announcement (“buy the rumor, sell the news,” though the rumor was that there was a chance of it being approved), then saw a precipitous drop once the news was announced.

Coidesk Chart — Thanks, Coindesk. March 1 through March 13, 2017 BTC price.

Reading the trading tea leaves

You don’t have to be a wizard to see that this type of rumor – and the subsequent news – can drive prices north. Here’s a 24-hour chart (from Poloniex) detailing what’s up with ETH:

Bitcoin has moved up, too – though not at a double-digit rate over the past day – and now trades on Poloniex at a shade above $1400. (This, too, can change in an instant.)

These things take time, though: rumors of a BTC ETF were rampant for months before the announcement, and you would expect the SEC to take its time on the ETH ruling. (You can also read the SEC’s document, from January 13, here: SEC notice.)

Long-term implications

Really, price speculations in any market are nothing new. For every cry of “bubble,” there’s someone else with a lofty prediction that might seem preposterous.

And the Bitcoin and Ether markets really aren’t any different in that regard to the gold market: Warren Buffett supposedly hates gold, while speculator Doug Casey thinks gold could double this year.

Of course, we’ll be watching this very closely. Our bet, though, is that FOMO will win big once either, or both, ETFs get approved. The flow of legitimate capital into a market that is perceived to be part of the underground is just the beginning.