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Mar 03 2022

WWJDD? (What Would Jamie Dimon Do?)

He’s not there yet.

We’ve watched what seems like a continued stream of people, and brands, and influencers, and siblings of influential people who own brands (see below) add .eth to their online persona.

A decade ago, I sang this song on Broadway. Today I sing this song, surrounded by new friends, as a rallying cry for the women of web3. Together, we can accomplish anything. And have fun doing it! #WAGMI

PS Look for some fun cameos!
PPS Sorry for *language* at the end ???? pic.twitter.com/W9pYZmxwXz

— randizuckerberg.eth (@randizuckerberg) February 28, 2022

But we’ve yet to see Jamie Dimon do it. Dimon, the CEO of JP Morgan Chase. Dimon, the influential business guy. Dimon, the brand.

Dimon, of the “Bitcoin is a fraud” quotes.

DID YOU KNOW: JP Morgan owns an influential stake in Metamask? Jamie Dimon’s thoughts on the investment, “Bitcoin is a fraud, these are all tokens, fools gold. I will fire any employee trading bitcoin because they are stupid.” pic.twitter.com/JFHBlmB6Ei

— Jason A. Williams (@GoingParabolic) March 3, 2022

Your question: did that actually happen? The answer: yes. Here’s CNBC’s report on the matter.

He has, however, changed his tune. A little: his bank is in the game (fits and starts, though, behind JPM Coin) and they’re supposedly in the metaverse buying and selling digital real estate.

The Next Step For Jamie?

Well, Metacoin to the rescue here: we’re auctioning off jamiedimon.eth.

Yes, that’s right. Cybersquatting? Read this article and let us know.

10 ETH is a fair price, we think. Maybe Jamie’s people will think so, too?

So the big question: What Would Jamie Dimon Do?

Written by David Van de Walle · Categorized: Big Banks

Feb 20 2022

When the Growth Portfolio Doesn’t Grow

We’re on a mission with the 2022 Growth Portfolio. We’re just not yet sure what that mission is.

When we jumped into the fray with our own mix of ten tokens to potentially invest in — and of course you should DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH — the thought was as follows: get a basket of tokens and ride out the 2022 market with it.

Up? Down? Sideways? Stalwarts like Bitcoin and Ethereum? Up-and-comers in Web3 like $ENS and $MAGIC? Yes.

So maybe the mission depends on the markets; a basket like this can help you ride the ups and downs.

And, So Far This Year, Lots of ‘Downs’

Meh Performance.

So we’re taking one on the chin so far.

That, my friends, is an understatement. Bitcoin’s doing fine when compared to the others — but still down nearly 20 percent — and Ethereum has been down and then a little back up but still down in 2022. To wit:

The roller coaster that goes down first

No time to do any touchdown dances or victory laps: this is not good performance. What gives?

We Don’t Know Why. Time to Catch the Falling Knife?

This is the question I get pretty often: have we hit bottom, or is it time to catch the falling knife? And, from the school of “IDK, DYOR,” I can posit a guess or two but invite you to study this on your own.

Guess One: Global Unease Equals Meh Performance

If I see one more post about “this is the time for Bitcoin” using the context of global geopolitical events as proof that this is the time for Bitcoin, I’ll scream.

However, you *could* guess that people in places like Canada who have had their bank accounts frozen might see a little truth to that. If you can’t even get money out of your bank then, well, this may be the time for Bitcoin.

Hilarious.

Many people called this: not your keys, not your coins. pic.twitter.com/IGblbjOwJu

— Dave Van de Walle (@Area224) February 20, 2022

(Also, if governments don’t understand how these things work, they may only choose to regulate them further. Will that push any and all coins into an oblivion? Will that lead to a black market for all things? Will that drive everything higher?)

Guess Two: Is There TOO Much Crypto Noise?

Is it possible that the ads from Larry David and Lebron James have rendered some of us inured to the noise around the subject? I mean, not the OGs like you and me, natch, but the rest of the world.

Nobody really knows what constitutes a good deal these days, so the newbies jumping in might not care if Bitcoin is $35K or $25K. And so on: for assets without earnings seasons and dividend payments, you’re flying blind.

Celebrating Our Only Good Pick So Far…

“Even a blind squirrel finds a nut every once in a while.”

We got lucky with $MAGIC. Somehow, at treasure.lol — that’s the web address! — they’re building a pretty cool…ah…uh…whatever they’re building. But trust us, it’s at the intersection of NFTs and gaming and crypto writ large, so we’re there for it.

We had mentioned it a couple times before on these pages, most recently in this post: How to Spend $1000. And we’ll ride this for as long as is feasible.

Today’s Takeaway…

We have mentioned this is not investment advice, right? And that you should do your own research?

Yes, that. Also you may or may not be better off being lucky than being good.

Written by David Van de Walle · Categorized: Uncategorized · Tagged: Bitcoin, Ethereum, magic

Jan 21 2022

NGMI: Why You Should Sell It All And Become A Monk

You don’t really think we’re gonna make it, do you?

Internet sub-cultures are a wonderful thing. Sometime last year, a combination of NFT purveyors and OG crypto traders started to adopt the phrase “gm” as a means of wishing each other “Good Morning.” It’s really a fine line here. Do it right — simply use the two letters, don’t use capitals, don’t repurpose the General Motors logo — and you’re part of the crowd. You’re Shiv and Tom in the screenshot below. Happy. Complete. Enjoying a good time. Celebrating life.

Do it wrong and you’re Kendall Roy, the punch line of the joke everyone but you is in on. (Watch the video. Cringe with us.)

Shoehorning a Succession reference into a blog post notwithstanding, “gm” evolved and “WGMI” was added shortly thereafter — at least by my measurement of the timeline, which could be off a hair, don’t hold me to it, DYOR and all that — to underscore the optimism that the crypto and NFT communities bring to the world. We’re Gonna Make It.

OR “Ain’t No Stopping Us Now,” as both McFadden and Whitehead reminded us sometime around 1979*.

We’re Gonna Make It! The optimist is on board: crypto is the future! NFTs are adding value to the economy and giving artists new life!

The pessimist reads the asterisk below.

* IIRC, the song was adopted by the 1979 Baltimore Orioles as their answer to the 1979 Pittsburgh Pirates’ choice of “We Are Family” by Sister Sledge. The Pirates came back from a 3-1 deficit to defeat the Orioles in the 1979 World Series; I won 50 cents off my Dad.

Which Brings Us to Our Point: NGMI

Shortly after either learning about the WGMI acronym or reading about the untimely demise of Messrs McFadden and Whitehead, new lingo was created: NGMI. Not Gonna Make It.

How Bout That Portfolio?

Egads! That kinda stinks, right? We launched the Growth Portfolio a couple weeks back on this here site and our goal was to give you, Gentle Reader, a basket of those coins that can give you the best opportunity for potential success. Big coins, mid-sized coins, up-and-comers that are taking advantage of the NFT-based web3 economy: it’s all there!

And it’s getting pummeled, as is everything else.

The Biggest Dogs

BTC is below $40,000, ETH has dropped below $3000. The end is nigh!

This Blog Post’s Title Is Tongue-in-Cheek

We really don’t know how to make sense of this market the past couple weeks. Our own holdings are down nearly a third since the beginning of the year. We won’t even begin to call a bottom, or else we’ll look like this guy.

Or we could guess that this guy (below, Fed chair Jerome Powell) will bring new people to crypto writ large through the Fed’s (possible) creation of something called “digital cash:” this is one of those “CBDCs” being bandied about in other countries.

Federal Reserve weighs creating 'digital cash' that would allow direct transfers without a bank https://t.co/fS4pnvhNh1

— Daily Mail US (@DailyMail) January 21, 2022

We also *could* start talking about new NFT developments — seems like everyone is getting in on the action, right? — and see that the challenges to OpenSea from Crypto.com and Coinbase probably say we’ve only just begun.

Our Point: Don’t Give Up Just Yet. Or Do Give Up.

In any event, here are a couple concepts to embrace:

  • Do Your Own Research. “DYOR” is one of the acronyms we use often around here. Don’t rely on us to tell you what to do. Sniff out a few other folks, check into CT (“Crypto Twitter”) and find out what people are talking about.
  • Experiment. We’ve gotten in early on a couple coins. We’ve also blown it on a couple, too. (Our stake in this one, for instance, was purchased when the price was about 80 cents each.) And we’ve created a series or two (or three) of NFTs, with limited success. But, again, we’re not afraid of experimentation.
  • Enjoy the Ride. The main reason yours truly is involved in this space is because he finds it bloody fascinating. Not every project is going to be eye-catching to you, not every token launch is going to make sense, and not every bit of lingo is going to be clever. If it’s not fun, then maybe it’s not for you?

gm

Keep at it. Or become a monk.

We’ll be here either way.

Written by David Van de Walle · Categorized: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Growth Portfolio, NFT, Non-Fungible Tokens, Portfolio · Tagged: McFadden & Whitehead, NFTs, NFTShill, Succession

Jan 05 2022

The 2022 Crypto Growth Portfolio

It started with a tweet, shared in response to an epic Twitter thread.

First, the thread:

1/206

As promised, here's my 2022 outperform shopping list and my 2022 thesis.

Let's breakdown what this is, why these assets, and how I approach this, and then the bullcase for each individual asset. pic.twitter.com/jEJkROrqc3

— Adam Cochran (@adamscochran) December 30, 2021

Then, my tweet:

My 2022 #crypto list:$ETH$MAGIC$SPELL$CRO$CRV$ENS$BTC $JEWEL $SHIB$UNI

DYOR, not investment advice.

— Dave Van de Walle (@Area224) December 31, 2021

The thread from Adam is LONG, so you’ll need to devote some serious time to studying it, or you’ll want to keep referring back to it a little at a time (that’s my plan; Adam shares some great info but it wasn’t until one of my Twitter friends referred to a specific recommendation when I started reading chunks in detail).

My tweet, however, was meant to start some conversations around a simpler potential portfolio you could put together to play this new new new NEW economy of web3 and whatever else is going on.

We present our 2022 Growth Portfolio in the same spirit as past HYPOTHETICAL portfolios: Do Your Own Research, Not Investment Advice, and, well, here’s an interesting way to track what’s going on in Crypto.

What’s Here (vs. What Was in the Tweet)

Caveats first: I made a couple changes to the December 30 post; I decided, to be direct, that $UNI and $CRV didn’t fit with the portfolio. So $AVAX and $SUSHI were inserted instead. The “Rank” column on the left-hand side is taken from this morning and all prices (both 1/1/22 and 1/5/22) were from CoinGecko.com.

Also, I created the list, did the whole price thing, and then…”#BitcoinCrash” or whatever, the afternoon of January 5. So I had to recalibrate based on pricing the afternoon of the 5th. (Hopefully the bloodbath is over.)

The idea goes like this: take a hypothetical $10,000 investment and divide it equally among ten coins. Past portfolios used fewer coins (BRED used just 4) but this might be the best way to spread the risk.

Bitcoin and Ethereum

The first two choices may be obvious: Bitcoin ($BTC) at nearly $900m at this writing and Ethereum ($ETH) at $400+m right now are the Big Two; third-place (by market cap) coin $BNB is 1/4 the size of $ETH. Bitcoin may or may not BE the crypto market, but a coin that is 1/3 the size (roughly) of Apple is probably a force to be reckoned with.

Ethereum is rather formidable in its own right, and, for the purposes of having an entry point into the rest of the coins through something like Metamask, you want some $ETH.

(SIDEBAR: Metamask has ONLY 21 million users? You want to get some $ETH and start using Metamask *if only* for the possibility of an airdrop, a la $ENS.)

Avalanche

Avalanche ($AVAX) traded at (GASP) $3.67 on January 1, 2021. So it’s up nearly 30x in one calendar year. Is it done?

We don’t think so; of course we’re kicking ourselves for being late to the party but it, as a platform, is pretty stellar and may have plenty of room to grow. (Could it pull back? Yes. $24B market cap might seem a little pricey. But $100B isn’t out of the realm and, let’s be honest, if you could 4x a piece of your portfolio, you’d probably be willing to risk a little.

Shiba Inu

Yes, we’ve seen the stories about the kid somewhere who invested a few hundred dollars in Shiba Inu ($SHIB) and now owns his own island. This one, for us, is the last of the famous international meme coins. You’re speculating that there’s a chance the $SHIB community can get this thing to a tenth of a penny, which would mean roughly 30x growth from here. (It would also mean that its value dwarfs the current value of $ETH, so yeah that’s a tall order.)

Realistically, though, expect a couple more bullish cycles of this highly volatile meme coin. Worth taking a chance on.

Crypto.com

You can’t go anywhere without seeing BRAND SPONSORSHIPS IN CRYPTO. FTX has an arena, as does Crypto.com; Crypto.com has Matt Damon, so advantage $CRO, its coin.

AND HERE’S A CLEARLY MARKED AFFILIATE LINK: We can both get a little something if you use this link and sign up and make a qualifying purchase.

This is probably the best way to play “pure retail crypto,” if that’s what you call a brand that pays big bucks to have Matt Damon on board.

Sushi

We pulled out Uniswap specifically and replaced it with Sushi ($SUSHI). We like the platform better and, while Sushi has ebbed and flowed and zigged and zagged — $3.32 on 1/1/21, then a high of $23.38 in March of 2021, and today at $7.76 — its one-stop-shop of Pooling and Staking and Farming is pretty nifty.

DeFi Kingdoms

$JEWEL is the token behind DeFi Kingdoms, which our buddy @TxdoHawk on Twitter talked about yesterday.

If you’re playing the DeFi-meets-Gaming-meets-NFTs space, there are worse places to do so.

Ethereum Name Service

$ENS is the governance token behind the Ethereum Name Service, and it was airdropped in November to users; we did a deeper dive on the site a couple weeks back. We still like it a ton.

Treasure

We talked about this one yesterday, too; $MAGIC is the coin and it is on a roller coaster this year already. (And today, dropping from an all-time high of $4.75 to its current level at $3.61 a token.)

The part above about DeFi Kingdoms playing the intersection of a couple of categories applies here: $MAGIC could very well be a ten-bagger this year (and that would put it just above $1B market cap).

What’s Next?

We plan, as we did in past years with the BRED Portfolio, to keep tabs on this one, with an update at least at the beginning of each quarter. It should be fascinating to see unfold.

Written by David Van de Walle · Categorized: Bitcoin, DeFi Kingdoms, ENS, Growth Portfolio, MAGIC, Treasure

Jan 04 2022

‘Not Investment Advice’ — What To Do with $1000 Right Now

So we’re starting an occasional series here called “Not Investment Advice.” We’re reaching out to a few people — in the Bitcorn universe and in other financial worlds — and we’re asking them: “What would you do with $1000 right now?”

This is, as we say in the headline and in the first paragraph here, “Not Investment Advice.”

Our first contestant is my buddy Mike on Twitter (his handle is @TxdoHawk) and below are his thoughts. As the days progress, we’ll add more comments from more commentators.

Mike (@TxdoHawk) Says:

DeFi Kingdoms (JEWEL) – There’s been a lot of discussion of blockchain gaming, Play 2 Earn, and the like in the back half of 2021. Studio after studio have launched flashy 3D trailers promising epic universes to explore. But in the meantime, DeFi Kingdoms has been quietly building out their vision: A gamified decentralized exchange that’s a love letter to a simpler time of 2D, 16-bit RPGs.

I have two rules when it comes to these sorts of investments. One, bet on teams, not projects; it’s clear the DeFi Kingdoms team has put a lot of careful thought into building out their universe. One only has to attend one of their weekly AMAs to get a real sense that this is a group serious about what they do and how they execute. Everything is thought through, the fledgling economy is carefully considered even at these early stages, and they are truly excited to share their ideas with the world.

Rule two is “one line of shipped code is worth more than a hundred roadmap promises.” Here again the team has excelled: In the 4 months since launch they have launched their DEX, hero NFTs that can earn experience and stat boosts, along with the beginnings of questing and the basics of an RPG-style economy where quest rewards can be earned, as well as bought/sold.

Skeptics might point out that the real meat of the game has yet to arrive: Major items on the to-do list are the remaining basic profession quests, along with lands (and their mechanics) as well as a PvP combat system. But what this team has already launched still dwarfs most projects in the space, many that have little more than a hype video and outstretched hands begging for investments.

The easiest way by far to get a foothold in this world is via the liquidity farms, referred to as Gardens. You can be earning JEWEL in a matter of minutes with no further effort required, and the APYs are still generous to this day, although a good chunk of that will be “locked” and released over a further out timeline. But think of that locked JEWEL as a generous call option: by the time you get your grubby paws on it, it could very well be that DeFi Kingdoms has built out one hell of a thriving ecosystem, especially with the newly-announced Crystalvale expansion coming to the Avalanche network.

Dave from Metacoin (That’s Me!) (@TeamMetacoin) Says:

I continue to be in awe of what they’re building at $MAGIC, whose website is Treasure.lol. Really. They have a “dot-lol” web domain.

And this is just from an investor standpoint, as I have yet to ACTUALLY PLAY THE GAME. (What’s Warren Buffett’s line about “investing in what you understand?”)

What I *do* understand is the convergence of NFTs (yes, I’ve created them and bought a bunch), DeFi (been there, done that), and gaming (duh).

They have the “slick video” going for them — but, to Mike’s point above, rather have delivered code, so the jury is still out on all of it — as referenced here:

This one is out of the “better lucky than good” dept. See chart below.

To be honest, this one was part of my “let’s speculate on a couple assets” plan toward the end of 2021. Others may not have done as well; $SPELL and $AVAX each doubled for me (thanks to good timing) but aren’t up multiples like my $MAGIC bet.

Whether the sky is the limit or not is a whole other question. But, and again THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE, $MAGIC could be an interesting one to watch in the months to come.

Written by David Van de Walle · Categorized: DeFi Kingdoms, Not Investment Advice, Treasure

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